Déficit que no cede pese a la estabilización presupuestaria

El_Nuevo_Dia

Por Joanisabel González / joanisabel.gonzalez@elnuevodia.com

El déficit acumulado del Gobierno se ha disparado hasta casi duplicarse en apenas tres años fiscales.

deficit-que-no-cede-pese-a-la-estabilizacion-presupuestaria

La brecha entre las obligaciones que tiene el Gobierno, sus actividades y corporaciones públicas versus los recursos que posee se ubicó en $33,678 millones, la cifra más alta que se haya registrado, según consta en el Informe Financiero Consolidado Anual (CAFR, por sus siglas en inglés).

La cifra deficitaria es, a su vez, casi cuatro veces la registrada en el fiscal 2002 y se concretó pese al ajuste fiscal implementado por la administración en el poder y el aumento de los recaudos por nuevos impuestos.

También se produjo con todo y la merma del déficit presupuestario, el antipático despido de empleados públicos y dos planes de estímulo fiscal como mecanismos para atender la insuficiencia de fondos y reactivar la economía. Continue reading “Déficit que no cede pese a la estabilización presupuestaria”

Puerto Rico Fiscal Update

$10 and the US Treasury

The Center for the New Economy (CNE) has just published its analysis of the proposals contained in the Governor’s budget request for fiscal year 2013. The analysis also includes a review of the fiscal trends for the fiscal year 2012, which ends on June 30, as well as an update of ten budget indicators that CNE has followed over the last five or six years.

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Fiscal Situation Update: Fiscal Year 2012-2013 Budget

This Fiscal Update Report prepared by the Center for a New Economy (CNE) presents an independent analysis of the proposals contained in the Governor’s budget request for fiscal year 2012-2013. The analysis is based on CNE’s evaluation and interpretation of the budget data, rather than the Administration’s, and may incorporate estimates made by CNE’s staff or by other private sector analysts.
 
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Puerto Rico’s Budget Deficit: an Independent Assessment

Recently there has been a public debate regarding the amount of Puerto Rico’s fiscal deficit for Fiscal Year 2012. Before moving on to provide our analysis of the Commonwealth’s deficit, we believe it is appropriate to differentiate among and between three different definitions of the term “deficit”, which, unfortunately, oftentimes are erroneously used interchangeably in the public debate. In order to clarify our analysis we pause briefly to explain each one of these definitions:

Budget Deficit – Is defined as the excess of spending over income for a government, a corporation, or an individual during a particular period of time. For purposes of this calculation the recurrence or non-recurrence of income and spending is not material. Similarly, the timing of the cash receipts or disbursements associated with a particular income or expense stream is irrelevant for purposes of this calculation. The important thing is to correctly and timely recognize income and expenses during the appropriate fiscal year.

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Fiscal Situation Update: An Analysis of the Governor’s Proposed Budget for Fiscal Year 2012

This Fiscal Update Report prepared by the Center for a New Economy (CNE) presents an independent analysis of the proposals contained in the Governor’s budget request for fiscal year 2012. The analysis is based on CNE’s evaluation and interpretation of the budget data, rather than the Administration’s, and may incorporate estimates made by CNE’s staff or by other private sector analysts.
 
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Fiscal Situation Update: Fiscal Year 2010-2011 Budget

This Fiscal Update Report prepared by the Center for a New Economy (CNE) presents an independent analysis of the proposals contained in the Governor’s budget request for fiscal year 2010-2011. The analysis is based on CNE’s evaluation and interpretation of the budget data, rather than the Administration’s, and may incorporate estimates made by CNE’s staff or by other private sector analysts.
 
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Fiscal Situation Update: Fiscal Year 2009-2010 Budget

This Fiscal Update Report prepared by the Center for a New Economy (CNE) presents an independent analysis of the proposals contained in the Governor’s budget request for fiscal year 2009-2010. The analysis is based on CNE’s evaluation and interpretation of the budget data, rather than the Administration’s, and may incorporate estimates made by CNE’s staff or by other private sector analysts.
 
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Fiscal Situation Update: Fiscal Year 2008 Review

I. A preliminary look at the fiscal 2007-08 balance

About a month ago the Puerto Rico Treasury Department released the preliminary revenue figures for fiscal year 2008. General fund net revenues totaled $8.252 billion, which is $610 million, or 6.88 per cent, less than the $8.862 billion collected during the previous fiscal year.

If we compare the actual revenues received with the originally budgeted amount, we find that general fund net revenues fell $825 million, or 9.09 per cent, short of the initially expected amount of $9.077 billion. This original revenue estimate, however, was revised in March 2008. At that time, the Treasury announced it expected net general fund revenues to come in at the level of $8.671 billion. Still, actual receipts were $419 million, or 4.83 per cent, below the revised forecast and even the adjusted projections were missed.

 
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